FTG Update: Slow recovery in the UK food to go sector, impacted by household spending power and travel disruptions

 

Slow recovery in the UK food to go sector, impacted by household spending power and travel disruptions

 

 

The UK's economic outlook has started to improve, with GDP no longer expected to be in negative growth in the first half of 2023. However, subdued growth is predicted for the first half of the year, and inflation remains high, with continued pressure on household spending power, which in turn weakens consumer confidence. But how is this affecting the Food to Go sector? Here are some key highlights:

  • The sector's recovery has been slow due to train strikes, political turbulence, and pressure on household spending power in 2022. Tube and national route travel only averaged around 75% of 2019 volumes, while penetration increased by just +0.7 percentage points, and frequency was down by -2% YoY.
  • Inflation has forced operators to increase prices, resulting in a +12% increase in average spend on Food to Go. This is due to cost pressures, which have led operators to raise their price points.
  • Looking ahead, we expect an improvement in the second half of the year as energy prices fall, which should help to push down inflation and strengthen consumer confidence.

 

Data sources:

 

Food To Go Market Report 2023 - a comprehensive resource for your success in the UK food to go market.

Eating and Drinking Out Panel - consumer insight and data solution with coverage across the total out of home channel.

Convenience Tracking Programme - convenience market trends & forecast, shopper segmentation, demographics, purchase decision hierarchies, detailed by category and retailer.

 

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